Cotton futures (Mar) is likely to break 20000 levels & plunge further towards 19900.
The fundamentals cite that the imports are subdued as the arrival season is at its
peak and there is sufficient supply in the market. For the time being, Indian
spinning mills await for clarity on market trend in the wake of uncertainties over the
US-China trade talks and currency moves. In the international market, the weekly
Export Sales report showed just 85,544 RB of old crop upland cotton sold in the
week that ended on 2/21, with new crop at 12,056 RB. Those were well below the
six-week average for sales released last week. China had 65,583 RB in net
cancellations for old crop. Export shipments were up 44.88% from that 6-week
average at 345,654 RB, with 21,254 RB to China. The Cotlook A Index was down
100 points on February 27 to 80.10 cents/lb. Chana futures (Mar) is likely to test
4050-4030 levels on the downside. The sentiments are bearish due to weak trend
of pulses in the spot markets. Amid subdued demand and limited trading, the
majority of pulse seeds in Indore mandis. The demand in chana dal and besan was
sluggish from consumption centres. Sentiments are still weak due to availability of
the government stock and the rise in selling of chana by the NAFED, especially in
the states of Madhya Pradesh and Rajasthan. Mentha oil (Mar) is likely to witness
selling facing resistance near 1640 levels. The sowing of the crop has started
towards the end of last month, and with couple of weeks passing by the initial
estimates are showing up that production of mentha oil is expected to rise to
48,000-50,000 tons in 2019 from 33,000-35,000 tons last year.
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