The fear of escalating trade war will continue to keep the upside capped of cotton futures on the domestic bourse.
Sluggish business activities are being observed in
the spot markets as both buyers and sellers are cautious trading. Hence, the May
contract is expected to witness a consolidation in the range of 21250-21490 levels.
On the international market, ICE Cotton futures saw 119 to 192 point gains in most
contracts to start a new week. Rain in parts of northern Texas and other parts of the
Cotton Belt may slow cotton planting this week. The Crop Progress report indicated
that 44% of the US cotton crop was seeded as of Sunday, 1% behind the average
pace and 6% behind a year ago. The weekly Average World Price (AWP) is now
59.59 cents/lb, down 5.06 cents from last week. Guar seed futures (June) is likely
to witness selling pressure & plunge towards 4350-4335, while guar gum futures
(June) is expected to witness correction towards 8745-8700 levels. The sentiments
have turned bearish after the estimates by the Rajasthan State Agriculture
department show that guar production to increase by 45.5% in the coming 2019-
20 (Jul-Jun) season from an output of 1.03 mln tn estimated in the current year due
to sharp rise in yields. Yield in the coming season is seen at 500 kg per ha,
compared to 334 kg this year. Wheat futures (June) will probably maintain its
uptrend taking support near 1985 levels. Demand for spot wheat is seen firm in
coming days as prices of the grain sold under the government's open market sale
scheme has been higher than the spot. Maize futures on the national bourse is
making a new life time high every week & going ahead this bullish trend is expected
to stay intact. The June contract would probably take support near 1920 & remain
stable supported by robust purchases by feed makers while adding that
uncertainty over imports of the grain.
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