Monday 18 December 2017

CAPITALSTARS - FREE AGRI COMMODITY MARKET NEWS & LEVELS - 18 DEC 2017

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The NCDEX Turmeric Apr futures slipped by -0.37% in the last trading to close at 7494 level till Friday closing at India's National Commodity & Derivatives Exchange (NCDEX).
Turmeric on NCDEX settled up by 1.16% at 7522 amid fall in output due to lower acreage. Prices also seen supported on firm indications from the spot market and weak stocks. The AP Markfed bought 48,500 ton turmeric in May when prices crashed below Rs 5,200 per quintal. The standing crop is in good condition Telangana, Andhra Pradesh and Maharashtra but Tamil Nadu is still facing water shortage which may impact the yield and production. New crop would commence by the end of this month and expectations of selling by the AP Markfed. AP Markfed had purchased nearly 48,500 ton turmeric under market intervention scheme. Standing turmeric crop is mostly in its vegetative to development stage across major growing states.
TURMERIC (APR) TECHNICAL VIEW:
TREND: BULLISH
RESISTANCE 2: 7670
RESISTANCE 1: 7580
SUPPORT 1: 7400
SUPPORT 2: 7300
STRATEGY:  BUY ON DIPS

The NCDEX Soyabean Jan futures surged up by 0.59% in the last trading to close at 3044 level till Friday closing.
Tone remains positive in soybean due to the recent hike in import duty of edible oils and soybean. As stated in the notification the duty on soya bean has been increased to 45 per cent from 30 per cent. Since prices of all oilseeds had gone below the MSP and there was a sense of deep distress and despondency in the minds of farmers, this move by the government has been welcomed by oilseed industry. Soybean is sometimes imported, although at nominal quantity hence rise in import duty will be seen as beneficial in enabling farmers increasing their income.  December soybean is likely to trade with upward bias this week, and between 2975-3075 levels. Harvest season, subdued export demand for soymeal and estimations of sufficient amount of inventory lying with stockists had been capping the upside so far, but now there is parity in exporting Indian soymeal while harvestseason is coming to end hence not much downside expected now. 
SOYABEAN (JAN) TECHNICAL VIEW:
TREND: BEARISH
RESISTANCE 2: 3080
RESISTANCE 1: 3060
SUPPORT : 3020
SUPPORT 2: 2990
STRATEGY:
SELL ON RISE

The NCDEX Guarseed Jan futures is surged up by 0.56% in the last trading to close at 3874 level till Friday closing.
Fundamentals remained strong for Guar even as profit booking at the higher levels limited the uptrend towards end of the week. Rising export demand amidst concerns on production front from recent crop losses, due to excess rains in Rajasthan, just few months back continue supporting long term trend. Lowering inventories too are bullish factors. The new crop arrivals shall continue in mandis for few more weeks and that might cap the upside. But with prices turning significantly cheap and export demand prospects improving, smart upside rallies are expected in near term. Increased exports of guar gum during last year have been encouraging due to increasing rig count in the US. Long term view is bullish but arrivals of new crop will be a bearish factor this week.
GUARSEED (JAN) TECHNICAL VIEW:
TREND: BULLISH
RESISTANCE 2: 3910
RESISTANCE 1: 3890
SUPPORT 1: 3840
SUPPORT 2: 3800
STRATEGY:  BUY ON DIPS

The NCDEX Jeera Jan futures slipped by -0.81% in the last trading to close at 21230 level on Friday.  Jeera on NCDEX settled down by -1.87% at 21495 amid reports of higher sowing in Gujarat-the largest producing state. Jeera acreage in Gujarat, the largest producer, rose to 311,400 hectare from 226,700 hectare a year ago as farmer got very attractive prices. India's 2016-17 cumin output fell to 489,000 ton from 503,000 ton a year ago and as a result stocks with traders and farmers are stated to lower. Apprehensions of drop in supplies in the days may support prices to trade higher. India jeera is stated to cheaper as compared to that of Syria and Turkey in global markets and is in good demand. At present stock with traders and farmers is insufficient to meet the demand till February next year when new jeera crop will hit the markets. As per Gujarat Govt. in Gujarat normal Jeera sowing area around 280,300 hectares. Current year area sowing around 59,400 hectares as compared to last year 36,600 hectares.
JEERA (JAN) TECHNICAL VIEW: 
TREND: BEARISH
RESISTANCE 2: 21800
RESISTANCE 1: 21550
SUPPORT 1:  21150
SUPPORT 2: 21000
STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE


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